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宗教节庆与经济发展:来自墨西哥主保圣人日节庆时机的证据

Religious Festivals and Economic Development: Evidence from the Timing of Mexican Saint Day Festivals
American Economic Review · 2022 · Eduardo Montero、Dean Yang

中文摘要

宗教节庆的庆祝方式差异是否会产生经济后果?我们研究了墨西哥天主教主保圣人日节庆时机的经济影响。为了进行因果识别,我们利用了节庆日期与农业季节时机在不同地区间的跨地区差异。我们估计了“农业重合”节庆(即与种植或收获高峰月份重合的节庆)对地区长期经济发展的影响。农业重合节庆导致家庭收入下降以及整体发展结果恶化。这些负效应可能源于较低的农业生产率,而后者抑制了脱离农业的结构转型。然而,农业重合节庆可能依然持续存在,因为它们同时也带来了更高的宗教信仰和社会资本。

Abstract

Does variation in how religious festivals are celebrated have economic consequences? We study the economic impacts of the timing of Catholic patron saint day festivals in Mexico. For causal identification, we exploit cross-locality variation in festival dates and in the timing of agricultural seasons. We estimate the impact of "agriculturally-coinciding" festivals (those coinciding with peak planting or harvest months) on long-run economic development of localities. Agriculturally-coinciding festivals lead to lower household income and worse development outcomes overall. These negative effects are likely due to lower agricultural productivity, which inhibits structural transformation out of agriculture. Agriculturally-coinciding festivals may nonetheless persist because they also lead to higher religiosity and social capital.
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