Living and Dying in America: An Essay on Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism
Journal of Economic Literature · 2022 · Christopher J. Ruhm
中文摘要
本文评述安妮·凯斯与安格斯·迪顿所著的《绝望之死与资本主义的未来》(以下简称DEATHS)。该书对20世纪末至21世纪初美国的生与死作了引人入胜的记述。尽管主要面向大众读者,该书也会引起许多经济学家和其他社会科学家的兴趣。该书提出,失控的美国资本主义与受教育程度较低者经济处境的恶化共同作用,提高了因毒品、自杀和慢性肝病导致的死亡率,而这种经济处境的恶化又部分由资本主义的失控所致。在相当详细地介绍DEATHS的内容之后,我提出了一系列有待回答的研究问题,以证实或反驳凯斯与迪顿的论点,并阐述了其核心假说面临的挑战。这些挑战包括:所假定的关系能否解释非西班牙裔白人与其他群体截然不同的死亡率变化轨迹,以及所观察到的死亡率变化发生的时间。在讨论过程中,我还对“绝望之死”这一概念化方式的有用性提出质疑,因为它隐含着很强的因果意味。
Abstract
This essay reviews Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism (hereafter, DEATHS) by Anne Case and Angus Deaton, a fascinating account of life and death in the United States during the late twentieth and early twenty-first centuries. While primarily targeted toward a popular audience, the volume will be of interest to many economists and other social scientists. It postulates how American capitalism run amok—combined with and partially causing the declining economic circumstances of the less educated—has increased mortality from drugs, suicide, and chronic liver disease. After describing the material in DEATHS in considerable detail, I suggest a variety of research questions that need to be answered to confirm or refute Case and Deaton’s arguments and describe challenges to their key hypotheses. Among the latter are the ability of the postulated relationships to explain the sharply differing mortality trajectories of non-Hispanic Whites, compared with other groups, and the timing of the observed mortality changes. Along the way, I raise doubts about the usefulness of the “deaths of despair” conceptualization, with its strong implications about causality. (JEL I12, I14, I18, J11, J18)