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移民与生产技术

Immigration and Production Technology
Annual Review of Economics · 2013 · Ethan Lewis

中文摘要

关于移民对劳动力市场影响的研究,通常依赖于资本可分离的单一商品生产模型。本文讨论的理论与证据提示,这一标准模型过于简单,无法捕捉移民对劳动力市场的长期影响。仅引入资本—技能互补性,且互补程度取涉及移民和不涉及移民的研究均支持的水平,就会使移民对相对工资的影响比资本可分离模型的模拟结果降低40%。其他允许生产结构对技能结构变化作出反应的模型,包括具有内生技术选择、定向技术变革或人力资本溢出的模型,也意味着移民对工资的长期影响小于标准模型的预测。本文讨论了试图利用移民引发的技能结构变化来可信地评估此类模型的新研究——这一方法仍有进一步应用的潜力——以及移民影响创新和企业形成的证据。

Abstract

Research on the labor market impact of immigration typically relies on a single-good model of production with separable capital. This article discusses theory and evidence that suggest that this standard model is too simple to capture the long-run labor market impact of immigration. A level of capital-skill complementarity supported in studies both involving and not involving immigration alone reduces the relative wage impact of immigration by 40% compared to simulations with separable capital. Other models in which the production structure responds to skill-mix changes, including models with endogenous choice of technique, directed technical change, or human capital spillovers, also imply that the long-run impact of immigration on wages is smaller than predicted by the standard model. This article discusses new research that tries to credibly evaluate such models using immigration-induced variation in the skill mix, an approach with further potential, and evidence that immigration impacts innovation and firm formation.
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