资源繁荣、收入分享与增长
Resource booms, revenue sharing, and growth
Journal of Development Economics · 2026 · [{"name": "Margaret Brehm", "affiliation": ["Oberlin College"]}, {"name": "Paul A. Brehm", "affiliation": ["Oberlin College"]}, {"name": "Alecia Cassidy", "affiliation": ["University of Alabama"]}, {"name": "Traviss Cassidy", "affiliation": ["University of Alabama"]}]
中文摘要
本文利用印度尼西亚的一项自然实验, 估计自然资源繁荣与共享资源收入各自的经济效应。与"荷兰病"担忧相反, 油气繁荣促进了制造业增长, 且共享收入并未损害当地制造业企业。共享收入显著提高了当地非石油GDP, 而资源繁荣则没有。供给侧因素有助于解释这些结果: 共享收入增加了当地人口与企业进入, 而资源繁荣则没有。因此, 油气繁荣主要通过共享收入惠及当地经济。对当地增长而言, 收入花在何处比资源在何处开采更为重要。
Abstract
Using a natural experiment in Indonesia, we estimate the separate economic effects of natural resource booms and shared resource revenue. Contrary to Dutch disease concerns, oil and gas booms promote manufacturing growth, and shared revenue does not harm local manufacturing firms. Shared revenue significantly raises local non-oil GDP, but resource booms do not. Supply-side factors help explain the results: shared revenue increases local population and firm entry, while resource booms do not. Oil and gas booms thus benefit local economies largely through shared revenue. Where the revenue is spent matters more for local growth than where the resources are extracted.