Journal of Development Economics · 2026 · Trung V. Vu、James B. Ang
中文摘要
本研究考察祖辈灌溉对当代气候变化政策的长期影响。我们以灌溉农业的地理适宜性作为历史上采用灌溉方式的一个看似外生的变异来源,发现祖先在前工业时代共同从事灌溉农业的社会,如今往往采取成效较弱的气候变化政策。进一步证据表明,随着气候行动的重要性因严重自然灾害暴露而日益凸显,历史上依赖灌溉农业的社会所作出的支持气候行动的政治响应显著较弱。我们提出并从实证上证明,以密集的邻里合作和相互依赖为特征的祖辈灌溉,促进了紧密亲属网络的早期形成。这些网络很可能限制了跨越亲属边界的非人格化合作,从而削弱了支持气候行动的集体行动。
• 本研究考察了与减缓气候变化相关的合作规范差异的一种潜在历史起源。
• 祖先在前工业时代共同从事灌溉农业的社会,如今往往采取成效较弱的气候变化政策。
• 历史上依赖灌溉农业的社会,对气候行动重要性日益凸显所作出的支持气候行动的政治响应显著较弱。
• 以密集的邻里合作和相互依赖为特征的祖辈灌溉,促进了紧密亲属网络的早期形成。
• 祖辈亲属关系的紧密性很可能限制了跨越亲属边界的非人格化合作,从而削弱了支持气候行动的集体行动。
Abstract
This study examines the long-term legacy of ancestral irrigation for contemporary climate change policies. Using geographic suitability for irrigated agriculture as a plausibly exogenous source of variation in historical irrigation adoption, we find that societies whose ancestors jointly practiced irrigated agriculture during the pre-industrial era tend to adopt less effective climate change policies today. Additional evidence suggests that pro-climate political responses to the growing salience of climate action, driven by exposure to severe natural disasters, are significantly weaker in societies historically dependent on irrigated agriculture. We propose and document empirically that ancestral irrigation, marked by intensive neighborhood-based cooperation and interdependence, contributed to the early formation of tight kinship networks. These networks likely constrained impersonal cooperation across kin boundaries, weakening collective pro-climate action. • This study examines a potential historical origin of variation in cooperative norms relevant for climate change mitigation. • Societies whose ancestors jointly practiced irrigated agriculture during the pre-industrial era tend to adopt less effective climate change policies today. • Pro-climate political responses to the growing salience of climate action are significantly weaker in societies historically dependent on irrigated agriculture. • Ancestral irrigation, marked by intensive neighborhood-based cooperation and interdependence, contributed to the early formation of tight kinship networks. • Ancestral kinship tightness likely constrained impersonal cooperation across kin boundaries, weakening collective pro-climate action.