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祖先灌溉与集体气候行动

Ancestral irrigation and collective climate action
Journal of Development Economics · 2026 · [{"name": "Trung V. Vu", "affiliation": ["Loughborough University", "University of Canberra"]}, {"name": "James B. Ang", "affiliation": ["Nanyang Technological University"]}]

中文摘要

本研究考察祖先灌溉对当代气候变化政策的长期遗产影响。我们将适宜灌溉农业的地理条件作为历史上采用灌溉的一种可合理视为外生的变异来源,发现其祖先在前工业时代共同从事灌溉农业的社会,如今倾向于采取效果较弱的气候变化政策。进一步证据表明,在历史上依赖灌溉农业的社会中,面对由严重自然灾害暴露所推高的气候行动重要性上升,其亲气候政治回应显著更弱。我们提出并通过实证证据表明,以密集的邻里合作和相互依赖为特征的祖先灌溉,促进了紧密亲属网络的早期形成。这些网络可能限制了跨越亲属边界的非人格化合作,从而削弱了集体亲气候行动。• 本研究考察了与减缓气候变化相关的合作规范差异的一个潜在历史起源。• 其祖先在前工业时代共同从事灌溉农业的社会,如今倾向于采取效果较弱的气候变化政策。• 在历史上依赖灌溉农业的社会中,针对气候行动重要性上升的亲气候政治回应显著更弱。• 以密集的邻里合作和相互依赖为特征的祖先灌溉,促进了紧密亲属网络的早期形成。• 祖先亲属关系的紧密性可能限制了跨越亲属边界的非人格化合作,从而削弱了集体亲气候行动。

Abstract

This study examines the long-term legacy of ancestral irrigation for contemporary climate change policies. Using geographic suitability for irrigated agriculture as a plausibly exogenous source of variation in historical irrigation adoption, we find that societies whose ancestors jointly practiced irrigated agriculture during the pre-industrial era tend to adopt less effective climate change policies today. Additional evidence suggests that pro-climate political responses to the growing salience of climate action, driven by exposure to severe natural disasters, are significantly weaker in societies historically dependent on irrigated agriculture. We propose and document empirically that ancestral irrigation, marked by intensive neighborhood-based cooperation and interdependence, contributed to the early formation of tight kinship networks. These networks likely constrained impersonal cooperation across kin boundaries, weakening collective pro-climate action. • This study examines a potential historical origin of variation in cooperative norms relevant for climate change mitigation. • Societies whose ancestors jointly practiced irrigated agriculture during the pre-industrial era tend to adopt less effective climate change policies today. • Pro-climate political responses to the growing salience of climate action are significantly weaker in societies historically dependent on irrigated agriculture. • Ancestral irrigation, marked by intensive neighborhood-based cooperation and interdependence, contributed to the early formation of tight kinship networks. • Ancestral kinship tightness likely constrained impersonal cooperation across kin boundaries, weakening collective pro-climate action.
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