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估计儿童工作时长:问卷与时间使用日记的比较

Estimating how much children work: Questionnaires versus time use diaries
Journal of Development Economics · 2026 · Juana Lamote de Grignon Pérez、Wenbin Wang、Tanay Kasyap、Matthew Henglong Luo、Jialu Tang

中文摘要

当前对童工的估计往往依赖于诸如“你上周工作了多少小时?”之类的问题。尽管高收入国家成年人自我报告中的偏误已有充分记录,但关于低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)儿童回答准确性的证据仍然有限。本文利用包括中国和印度在内的九个低收入和中等收入国家的数据表明,时间使用日记所报告的工作时数远多于标准问卷。这一差距在年龄较小的儿童中尤为突出:在5—11岁儿童中,日记估计值与问卷估计值之比超过5,即使在15—17岁的青少年中,这一比值仍高于2。这表明,当前的估计可能大幅低估了童工。此外,某些形式的劳动——如取水或拾柴——似乎也是形成这些测量差距的部分原因。

Abstract

Current estimates of child labour often rely on questions such as, “How many hours did you work last week?” While biases in adult self-reports are well documented in high-income countries, there is limited evidence on the accuracy of children’s responses in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Using data from nine LMICs, including China and India, this paper shows that time diaries report considerably more work hours than standard questionnaires. The gap is particularly large among younger children, with ratios of diary to questionnaire estimates exceeding five at ages 5–11 and remaining above two even among adolescents aged 15–17. This suggests that current estimates may substantially understate child labour. Moreover, certain forms of work—such as collecting water or firewood—appear to contribute to these measurement gaps.
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