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泡沫世界中的货币政策

Monetary Policy for a Bubbly World
Review of Economic Studies · 2020 · Vladimir Asriyan、Luca Fornaro、Alberto Martín、Jaume Ventura

中文摘要

在泡沫世界中,货币政策的作用是什么?为回答这一问题,我们研究了一个金融摩擦限制资产供给的经济体。由此产生的资产稀缺催生了对“无支撑”资产的需求,即对仅由其未来价值预期支撑的资产的需求。我们考虑两类无支撑资产:由私人部门创造的泡沫,以及由中央银行创造的货币。泡沫与货币有许多共同特征,但在两个关键方面存在差异。第一,创造泡沫所产生的经济租金归于企业家,并促进投资,而创造货币所产生的经济租金归于中央银行。第二,泡沫受市场心理驱动,可随市场情绪的反复无常而涨跌,而货币则由中央银行控制。我们刻画了最优货币政策,并表明,货币政策凭借其供给资产的能力,在泡沫世界中发挥着关键作用。该模型有助于理解近期中央银行为应对泡沫破裂而扩张负债的现象。

Abstract

Abstract What is the role of monetary policy in a bubbly world? To address this question, we study an economy in which financial frictions limit the supply of assets. The ensuing scarcity generates a demand for “unbacked” assets, i.e., assets that are backed only by the expectation of their future value. We consider two types of unbacked assets: bubbles, which are created by the private sector, and money, which is created by the central bank. Bubbles and money share many features, but they also differ in two crucial respects. First, while the rents from the creation of bubbles accrue to entrepreneurs and foster investment, the rents from money creation accrue to the central bank. Second, while bubbles are driven by market psychology, and can rise and fall according to the whims of the market, money is under the control of the central bank. We characterize the optimal monetary policy and show that, through its ability to supply assets, monetary policy plays a key role in the bubbly world. The model sheds light on the recent expansion of central bank liabilities in response to the bursting of bubbles.
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