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内部纾困与外部救助:激励、连通性与系统稳定性

Bail-Ins and Bailouts: Incentives, Connectivity, and Systemic Stability
Journal of Political Economy · 2022 · Benjamin Bernard、Agostino Capponi、Joseph E. Stiglitz

中文摘要

本文将金融危机中的干预内生化,将其刻画为监管者与陷入困境的银行的债权人之间的策略性谈判。银行为自愿内部纾困出资的激励源于其金融传染风险暴露。在均衡中,只有当监管者不对无力偿债的银行实施外部救助的威胁可信时,内部纾困才有可能实现。与无干预或仅有政府外部救助的模型的结论相反,稀疏网络能够增进福利,主要原因有二:其一,在面临大冲击时,稀疏网络提高了监管者不实施外部救助这一威胁的可信度;其二,当该威胁可信时,稀疏网络降低了内部纾困出资者之间的搭便车激励。

Abstract

This paper endogenizes intervention in financial crises as the strategic negotiation between a regulator and creditors of distressed banks. Incentives for banks to contribute to a voluntary bail-in arise from their exposure to financial contagion. In equilibrium, a bail-in is possible only if the regulator’s threat to not bail out insolvent banks is credible. Contrary to models without intervention or with government bailouts only, sparse networks enhance welfare for two main reasons: they improve the credibility of the regulator’s no-bailout threat for large shocks, and they reduce free-riding incentives among bail-in contributors when the threat is credible.
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