Journal of Political Economy · 2026 · Ulrika Ahrsjö、Costas Meghir、Marten O. Palme、Marieke Schnabel
中文摘要
我们考察教育政策对犯罪的代际影响。利用将跨代结果与犯罪记录相联系的行政数据, 我们发现, 1949 年至 1962 年间逐步实施的瑞典综合学校改革, 既降低了直接受影响一代的定罪率, 也降低了其儿子的定罪率。这一下降在多种犯罪类型上均有出现。中介分析提示, 关键渠道包括父母受教育程度和家庭收入的提高, 以及父亲犯罪行为的减少。
Abstract
We examine the intergenerational effect of education policy on crime. Using administrative data that link outcomes across generations with crime records, we show that the Swedish comprehensive school reform, gradually implemented between 1949 and 1962, reduced conviction rates both for the generation directly affected and for their sons. The reduction occurred across several types of crime. Mediation analysis suggests that the key channels include increased parental educational attainment and household income, as well as reduced criminal behavior among fathers.