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强迫实验的收益:来自伦敦地铁网络的显著证据*

The Benefits of Forced Experimentation: Striking Evidence from the London Underground Network*
Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2017 · Shaun T. Larcom、Ferdinand Rauch、Tim Willems

中文摘要

我们提供的证据表明,伦敦地铁上有相当一部分通勤者并未选择其最优路线出行。我们证明,地铁罢工迫使许多通勤者尝试新路线,从而带来了行为的持久变化。对于居住在地铁线路图扭曲程度更高地区的通勤者,这种效应更强,这指向了信息不完全的重要性。罢工产生的信息提升了网络效率。仅凭搜寻成本不太可能解释这种次优行为。

Abstract

Abstract We present evidence that a significant fraction of commuters on the London Underground do not travel on their optimal route. We show that a strike on the Underground, which forced many commuters to experiment with new routes, brought lasting changes in behavior. This effect is stronger for commuters who live in areas where the Underground map is more distorted, which points to the importance of informational imperfections. Information resulting from the strike improved network efficiency. Search costs alone are unlikely to explain the suboptimal behavior.
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