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针对记者的暴力与新闻自由:来自墨西哥的证据

Violence against journalists and freedom of the press: Evidence from Mexico
Journal of Development Economics · 2026 · José A. Jurado、Juan S. Morales

中文摘要

本文研究针对记者的袭击如何影响新闻媒体活动。我们将墨西哥媒体机构在Twitter上分享的内容数据,与2010年至2020年间记者遇害的记录相结合,并采用对交错处理和异质性效应稳健的双重差分方法。分析表明,与尚未经历记者遇害事件的媒体机构相比,记者遇害后数月内,其所属媒体机构的报道活动显著下降。此外,我们还观察到新闻报道语气发生细微变化,语法错误显著增加。利用人口普查数据,我们还发现,在发生记者遇害事件的地区,在职记者人数有所减少,其人口统计特征也发生变化:留任记者往往更年轻、受教育程度更低、已婚可能性更低,且育有子女的可能性也更低。

Abstract

This paper studies how attacks against journalists affect news media activity. We combine data on content shared by Mexican media outlets on Twitter with records of journalist assassinations between 2010 and 2020, and use difference-in-differences methods that are robust to staggered treatment and heterogeneous effects. Our analysis shows that reporting activity of affiliated outlets declines significantly in the months after journalists are killed, relative to outlets not yet exposed to a killing. Additionally, we observe subtle shifts in the tone of news coverage and a significant increase in grammatical errors. Using census data, we also document that the number of active journalists declines in places where killings occur, and that their demographic characteristics shift: remaining journalists tend to be younger, less educated, less likely to be married, and less likely to have children.
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