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降温法规,更安全的工人:评估加州高温标准及其减少工伤的效果

Cooler Laws, Safer Workers: Evaluating California’s Heat Standard and Injury Reduction
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · Olesya Fomenko、Melissa McInerney、Sebastian Negrusa

中文摘要

越来越多的研究表明,过度高温会增加工作中与高温相关的伤害的发生频率。尽管如何减轻过度高温带来的职业风险备受关注,但关于针对高温暴露的立法能否减少此类伤害的证据仍然很少。我们使用三重差分方法和工伤赔偿系统的行政数据,评估了加州于2005年通过的高温标准,发现该标准大幅降低了建筑业、农业和运输业的工伤发生频率。这些效应随室外温度升高而增大,且在较年轻的工人中更大。我们的研究结果对工作场所安全具有明确的启示,并为当前的政策辩论提供了参考。

Abstract

A growing body of research shows that excessive heat increases the frequency of heat-related injuries at work. While interest in mitigating occupational risks from excessive heat is high, there is little evidence on whether legislation targeting heat exposure can reduce such injuries. Using a triple-differences approach and administrative data from workers’ compensation systems, we evaluate California’s heat standard – adopted in 2005 - and find that the standard substantially reduces the frequency of work injuries in the construction, agriculture, and transportation industries. The effects increase with outside temperatures and are larger among younger workers. Our findings have clear implications for workplace safety and contribute to ongoing policy debates.
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