← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

无分权的整合:1880–1940年美国人寿保险的金融地理

Integration Without Decentralization: The Financial Geography of U.S. Life Insurance, 1880–1940
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · Pawel Janas

中文摘要

本文研究了美国人寿保险的转型,这是社会保障出现之前美国最大的契约储蓄机构。随着保险市场走向全国化,对其所筹集储蓄的控制权是否也随之分散?利用1888至1940年间涵盖几乎全部美国人寿保险公司的新近数字化年度保费与赔付的企州面板数据,我区分了筹集地理与控制地理:保费缴纳地与接收保费的公司的注册地。在这六十年间,该行业经历了重塑。实际保费收入增长超过二十倍,活跃保险公司数量增长六倍,公司注册地从东北部决定性地向中西部和南部转移,州内集中度下降了近一半。控制权被重新配置,而非分散。特许设立本地保险公司几乎完全在广延边际上提高了本地留存率。跨区域来看,这缩小了巨大差距:1890年代东北部的保费留存几乎是南部的十一倍,而到1930年代仅为其两倍,其中十分之九的趋同来自南部各州在原本没有的地方获得了国内部门。全国总量保持不变:在保费筹集地注册的公司在1890年代收取了其不到四分之一的保费,在1930年代收取了略超五分之一的保费,即使各州的家庭参与率稳步趋同。在全国运营的法律许可足以整合销售保险的市场,但不足以分散对所收取的可投资现金的控制权。

Abstract

This paper studies the transformation of American life insurance, the largest contractual savings institution in the United States before Social Security. As the market for insurance became national, did control over the savings it collected disperse with it? Using a newly digitized annual firm-by-state panel of premiums and losses covering nearly every U.S. life insurer from 1888 to 1940, I distinguish the geography of collection from the geography of control: where premiums were paid, and where the firms receiving them were domiciled. The industry was remade over these six decades. Real premium income rose more than twentyfold, the number of active insurers grew sixfold, incorporation shifted decisively from the Northeast toward the Midwest and South, and within-state concentration fell by nearly half. Control was rearranged, not dispersed. Chartering domestic insurers raised local retention almost entirely at the extensive margin. Across regions, this closed a large gap, as the Northeast retained nearly eleven times as much of its premium as the South in the 1890s and only twice as much by the 1930s, with nine-tenths of the convergence coming from Southern states acquiring domestic sectors where they had none. The national total held: firms domiciled where premium was raised collected just under a quarter of it in the 1890s and just over a fifth in the 1930s, even as household participation converged steadily across states. Legal permission to operate nationally sufficed to integrate the market in which insurance was sold, but not to disperse control over the investable cash it collected.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →