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帮派蔓延:将美国犯罪资本输出至萨尔瓦多

Spreading Gangs: Exporting US Criminal Capital to El Salvador
American Economic Review · 2022 · María Micaela Sviatschi

中文摘要

本文表明,遣返政策可能适得其反:它不仅使思想在国家之间传播,也使犯罪网络跨国扩散,从而导致帮派蔓延——在本研究中,蔓延至萨尔瓦多各地——并推动人口向美国回流。1996年,美国《非法移民责任法》使被遣返的犯罪人员数量增加。具体而言,在洛杉矶发展起来的萨尔瓦多大型帮派的成员被遣返回萨尔瓦多。我利用犯罪人员遣返随时间及在不同队列之间的变化,并结合美国帮派所在地的地理差异,发现这些遣返导致凶杀率上升、帮派活动增多,以及帮派招募和儿童迁移增加。

Abstract

This paper shows how deportation policies can backfire by disseminating not only ideas between countries but also criminal networks, spreading gangs, in this case, across El Salvador, and spurring migration back to the United States. In 1996, the US Illegal Immigration Responsibility Act increased the number of criminal deportations. In particular, the members of large Salvadoran gangs developed in Los Angeles were sent back to El Salvador. Using variation in criminal deportations over time and across cohorts, combined with geographical variation in US gangs’ location, I find that these deportations led to an increase in homicide rates and gang activity, as well as an increase in gang recruitment and migration of children. (JEL J15, J18, K37, K42, O17)
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