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大学招生中的偏好发现:支持动态多录取通知机制的理由

Preference Discovery in University Admissions: The Case for Dynamic Multioffer Mechanisms
Journal of Political Economy · 2022 · Julien Grenet、Yinghua He、Dorothea F. Kübler

中文摘要

我们提供了与匹配文献中一个常见假设相悖的准实验证据,该假设认为参与者对自身偏好拥有完全信息。在德国的大学招生中,Gale-Shapley 算法的最初几个阶段实时执行,允许每位学生获得多个录取通知。我们证明,不会因未立即接受而失效的早期录取通知比后期录取通知更常被接受,尽管前者并不更具吸引力。这些结果连同调查证据和一个理论模型,与学生需要付出成本来发现自身偏好的解释相一致。一种将早期录取通知集中成批发放的新型动态多录取通知机制,通过在学生发现自身偏好之前告知他们哪些录取通知可以获得,提高了匹配效率。

Abstract

We document quasi-experimental evidence against the common assumption in the matching literature that agents have full information on their own preferences. In Germany’s university admissions, the first stages of the Gale-Shapley algorithm are implemented in real time, allowing for multiple offers per student. We demonstrate that nonexploding early offers are accepted more often than later offers, despite not being more desirable. These results, together with survey evidence and a theoretical model, are consistent with students’ costly discovery of preferences. A novel dynamic multioffer mechanism that batches early offers improves matching efficiency by informing students of offer availability before preference discovery.
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