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评蒂莫西·贝斯利《国家能力、互惠与社会契约》

A Comment on: “State Capacity, Reciprocity, and the Social Contract”by Timothy Besley
Econometrica · 2020 · Samuel Bowles

中文摘要

将公民偏好视为内生的,并将政府政策与税收能力视为既影响这些偏好的演变、又是其演变结果的因素,是一条重要的新思路,贝斯利对此作出了贡献。我提出的问题是:他的模型能否令人信服地解释公民文化与国家扩张在实际历史中是如何演变的?我还提出了若干替代性建模方法:这些方法既能承认政策制定者会考虑其政策选择对偏好的影响,也能支持人口在文化上具有异质性而非同质性的均衡,而这与经验观察相一致。

Abstract

Treating civic preferences as endogenous and government policies and tax capacities as both an influence on and a consequence of their evolution is an important new strand of thinking to which Besley has contributed. I ask: Does his model provide a convincing explanation of the way that civic cultures and the expansion of the state evolved as a matter of historical fact? And I suggest a number of alternative modeling approaches that both would recognize that policy makers take account of the effects of their policy choices on preferences and, consistent with empirical observations, would support equilibria with culturally heterogeneous rather than homogeneous populations.
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