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最低工资、非正规报酬与税收执法

The minimum wage, informal pay, and tax enforcement
Journal of Public Economics · 2022 · Anikó Bíró、Dániel Prinz、László Sándor

中文摘要

我们研究在执法不完善且存在非正规性的环境中,最低工资对税收的影响。匈牙利加强了对申报收入低于最低工资两倍这一门槛者的税务稽查威胁,我们利用这一变化,使用行政面板数据估计申报和就业反应。我们的聚束分析和双重差分结果表明,在申报收入为最低工资的人中,有相当大比例的人在账外至少还赚取了同等金额。我们的核心洞见是,征税的最低工资对低报收入构成了兜底约束,并能挽回部分税收收入——尽管它也增加了非正规性。

Abstract

We study the implications of the minimum wage for taxation in an environment with imperfect enforcement and informality. Leveraging an increase in the audit threat for declared earnings below a threshold at twice the minimum wage in Hungary, we estimate reporting and employment responses with administrative panel data. Our bunching and difference-in-differences results show that a substantial share of those who report earning the minimum wage earn at least the same amount off the books. Our key insight is that a taxed minimum wage serves as a backstop on underreporting and recovers some revenue —even though it also increases informality.
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