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移动应用与定向广告:数据共享的竞争效应

Mobile Apps and Targeted Advertising: Competitive Effects of Data Sharing
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2026 · Ding Li、Hsin‐Tien Tsai

中文摘要

本文考察移动应用之间数据共享的影响,并利用 iOS 限制使用标识符追踪用户的政策作为研究切入点。我们发现,该限制使平均新增下载量下降 3.96%。这一效应主要由两类主体驱动:一是大量依赖第三方数据获取用户的大型应用(导致效应重叠),二是缺乏第一方数据的开发者(导致信息优势缺失)。然而,该限制实施后,新应用推出数量下降,尤其是首次开发者推出的新应用减少,这意味着大型现有应用可能在长期获得更强的市场主导地位,并抵消其在用户获取方面带来的市场集中度下降。

Abstract

Abstract This paper examines the impact of data sharing among mobile apps, leveraging iOS’s policy that limits tracking users using identifiers. We find that this restriction decreases average new downloads by 3.96%. The effect is primarily driven by large apps that heavily rely on third-party data to acquire users (resulting in overlapping effects), and developers who lack first-party data (resulting in a lack of information advantage). However, new app introductions, particularly by first-time developers, decrease following the restriction, implying that large incumbent apps may gain increased dominance in the long run and offset their reduction in market concentration from user acquisition.
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