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合同的多维拍卖:一项实证分析

Multidimensional Auctions of Contracts: An Empirical Analysis
American Economic Review · 2022 · Yunmi Kong、Isabelle Perrigne、Quang Vuong

中文摘要

在本文中,当私人信息为多维时,我们对具有一般配置规则的合同多属性拍卖进行了结构分析。在构建了考虑投标人内生事后行为的合同价值模型后,我们从其出价中非参数地识别了投标人的私人信息,并估计了它们的联合分布。通过分析路易斯安那州石油租约的现金-权利金拍卖,我们发现,鉴于逆向选择和道德风险,政府收入比具有固定权利金的现金拍卖更差,且开发率并不更好。我们的发现修正了关于多属性拍卖最优性的传统观点。

Abstract

In this paper, we conduct a structural analysis of multi-attribute auctions of contracts with a general allocation rule when private information is multidimensional. Upon modeling bidders’ contract value that accounts for their endogenous ex post actions, we nonparametrically identify bidders’ private information from their bids and estimate their joint distribution. Analyzing cash-royalty auctions of Louisiana oil leases, we find government revenue worse and development rates no better than in a cash auction with a fixed royalty in view of adverse selection and moral hazard. Our findings revise conventional wisdom on the optimality of multi-attribute auctions. (JEL D44, D82, D86, H82, Q35)
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