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失业的代价

The Cost of Job Loss
Review of Economic Studies · 2020 · Kenneth Burdett、Carlos Carrillo‐Tudela、Melvyn Coles

中文摘要

本文在一个具有在职搜寻的劳动力市场中,识别了一种工资形成与内生离职流动的均衡理论,其中风险规避型工人通过干中学积累人力资本,并在失业期间丧失技能。最优契约意味着所付工资随经验和任期递增。使用德国数据的间接推断确定了该模型的深层参数。估计模型不仅重现了失业后工资和收入的大幅且持久的下降,一项新的结构分解还发现,失业期间未能进行的人力资本积累是工人失业的主要代价。

Abstract

Abstract This article identifies an equilibrium theory of wage formation and endogenous quit turnover in a labour market with on-the-job search, where risk averse workers accumulate human capital through learning-by-doing and lose skills while unemployed. Optimal contracting implies the wage paid increases with experience and tenure. Indirect inference using German data determines the deep parameters of the model. The estimated model not only reproduces the large and persistent fall in wages and earnings following job loss, a new structural decomposition finds foregone human capital accumulation (while unemployed) is the worker’s major cost of job loss.
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