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创伤经历对下一代生命周期劳动力市场结果的不利影响——来自二战期间纳粹突袭的证据

Traumatic Experiences Adversely Affect Life Cycle Labor Market Outcomes of the Next Generation—Evidence from Wwii Nazi Raids
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2023 · Vincenzo Atella、Edoardo Di Porto、Joanna Aleksandra Kopinska、Maarten Lindeboom

中文摘要

本文考察孕妇经历的创伤事件对其子女终身劳动力市场结果的因果效应。我们利用了一项独特的自然实验:二战期间,纳粹在意大利各市镇实施突袭,突袭地点随机分布。我们将男性私营部门劳动者的行政数据与纳粹突袭及战争伤亡信息相关联。我们的结果提示,产前暴露于创伤事件会影响子女整个职业生涯及退休期间的收入。收入较低源于较低的受教育程度、所从事的工作类型,以及失业造成的职业生涯中断。我们进一步发现,产前暴露会加剧此后人生阶段失去工作对收入的不利影响。我们使用一个记录医疗支出的医疗数据库来解释这些效应估计值。产前暴露者用于神经系统疾病和精神障碍的医疗支出更高,这表明压力很可能是产生上述研究结果的一个重要因素。

Abstract

Abstract This paper examines the causal effect of a traumatic event experienced by pregnant women on the life-long labor market outcomes of their offspring. We exploit a unique natural experiment that involved randomly placed Nazi raids in municipalities in Italy during WWII. We link administrative data on male private sector workers to information about Nazi raids and war casualties. Our results suggest that prenatal exposure to traumatic events affects offspring earnings throughout the working career and in retirement. The lower earnings are due to lower educational attainment, the type of jobs held, and interruptions in working careers due to unemployment. We further find that prenatal exposure exacerbates the adverse effects of later-life job loss on earnings. We use a medical database on health expenditures to interpret the effect estimates. The prenatally exposed have higher medical expenditures on diseases of the nervous system and mental disorders, indicating that stress is likely to be an important factor driving our findings.
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