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美国电力生产中的不完全市场与不完全监管

Imperfect Markets versus Imperfect Regulation in US Electricity Generation
American Economic Review · 2022 · Steve Cicala

中文摘要

本文评估了美国引入市场机制决定生产所导致的发电成本变化。我利用1999年至2012年向市场的交错(分批)过渡,在涵盖电力需求、发电商成本、装机容量与产出的全面小时面板数据上,采用双重差分设计估计了自由化的因果影响。我发现,市场通过重新配置生产使生产成本下降了5%:基于交易电量25%的增加,跨服务区的贸易收益增加了55%,而使用不经济机组的成本下降了16%。

Abstract

This paper evaluates changes in electricity generation costs caused by the introduction of market mechanisms to determine production in the United States. I use the staggered transition to markets from 1999 to 2012 to estimate the causal impact of liberalization using a differences-in-difference design on a comprehensive hourly panel of electricity demand, generators’ costs, capacities, and output. I find that markets reduce production costs by 5 percent by reallocating production: gains from trade across service areas increase by 55 percent based on a 25 percent increase in traded electricity, and costs from using uneconomical units fall 16 percent. (JEL L51, L94, L98, Q41, Q48)
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