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现代产业政策与世界贸易组织

Modern Industrial Policy and the World Trade Organization
Annual Review of Economics · 2024 · Chad P. Bown

中文摘要

本文综述了与世界贸易组织(WTO)相关的产业政策经济学。鉴于人们担忧现代产业政策的运用方式正以威胁国际贸易体系合作的方式兴起,本文首先介绍将产业政策与其背后市场失灵相联系的基本历史经济学框架。随后,本文介绍经济学界对WTO所发挥作用的主流理解,考察WTO关于补贴(进而关于产业政策)的规则、对贸易体系补贴规则演变的不安情绪、知识缺口,以及重要的数据与测度缺陷。本文主体部分考察了现代产业政策运作方式有所不同、且对贸易体系而言尤为重要的四个领域:中国、供应链韧性、供应链响应能力和气候变化。本文梳理了迄今为止的证据、尚待解答的问题,以及经济学研究未来可能的推进路径,以帮助政策制定者努力恢复贸易与产业政策领域的国际经济合作。

Abstract

This article surveys the economics of industrial policy as it relates to the World Trade Organization (WTO). Motivated by concern that the modern use of industrial policy is emerging in ways that threaten cooperation in the international trading system, the article begins with the basic historical economic framework for tying industrial policy to underlying market failures. It then introduces the dominant economic understanding of the role played by the WTO, examining the WTO's rules on subsidies (and thus industrial policy), the unease with the evolution of the trading system's subsidy rules, gaps in knowledge, and important data and measurement shortcomings. The main part of the article examines four areas in which modern industrial policy operates differently and has become especially important for the trading system: China, supply chain resilience, supply chain responsiveness, and climate change. The article identifies the evidence to date, open questions, and potential paths forward for economic research to help inform policymakers’ efforts to restore international economic cooperation in trade and industrial policy.
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