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移民与美国的塑造

Immigrants and the Making of America
Review of Economic Studies · 2019 · Sandra Sequeira、Nathan Nunn、Nancy Qian

中文摘要

我们研究了大规模移民时代(1850–1920年)欧洲向美国移民对经济繁荣的影响。利用总移民流量波动与铁路网络逐步扩张相互作用所产生的移民跨县变异,我们发现历史上移民较多的县当今具有更高的收入、更低的贫困率、更低的失业率、更高的城市化率以及更高的教育程度。长期效应似乎捕捉了短期收益的持续性,包括更高的工业化水平、更高的农业生产率以及更多的创新。

Abstract

Abstract We study the effects of European immigration to the U.S. during the Age of Mass Migration (1850–1920) on economic prosperity. Exploiting cross-county variation in immigration that arises from the interaction of fluctuations in aggregate immigrant flows and of the gradual expansion of the railway network, we find that counties with more historical immigration have higher income, less poverty, less unemployment, higher rates of urbanization, and greater educational attainment today. The long-run effects seem to capture the persistence of short-run benefits, including greater industrialization, increased agricultural productivity, and more innovation.
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