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技术变革、竞选支出与极化

Technological change, campaign spending and polarization
Journal of Public Economics · 2022 · Pau Balart、Agustín Casas、Orestis Troumpounis

中文摘要

我们提出了一个包含内生政纲与竞选支出的选举竞争模型,其中易受影响型与意识形态型选民之间的划分也是内生的,并取决于政党的战略性政纲选择。我们的方法产生了一个易于处理的模型,为近期技术进步的效应提供了有趣的比较静态分析。例如,我们能为有充分文献记录的竞选支出与极化同时增加的现象提供一种新的解释:竞选广告效果的提高,或选民政治意识的下降,肯定会提高极化,且可能增加竞选支出。

Abstract

We present a model of electoral competition with endogenous platforms and campaign spending where the division of voters between impressionable and ideological is also endogenous and depends on parties’ strategic platform choices. Our approach results in a tractable model that provides interesting comparative statics on the effect of recent technological advancements. For instance, we can accommodate a new justification behind the well-documented simultaneous increase in campaign spending and polarization: an increase in the effectiveness of electoral advertising, or a decrease in the electorate’s political awareness, surely increases polarization and may also increase campaign spending.
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