← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

美国的党派空间分选:理论与实证概述

Partisan spatial sorting in the United States: A theoretical and empirical overview
Journal of Public Economics · 2022 · Ethan Daniel Kaplan、Jörg L. Spenkuch、Rebecca Sullivan

中文摘要

我们构建了一个度量党派性异质程度的类方差指数,并用其测度空间分选。我们证明,该指数是唯一(在至多相差一个线性变换的意义下)满足七项理论性质的指数,而这七项性质在直觉上都是合意的。基于该指数,我们记录了美国选民中按党派界线的地理分选的长期演变。我们提供的证据表明,自二十世纪中叶以来,空间裂痕已急剧增加。自南北战争以来的任何时期,党派都没有像今天这样高度集聚于各个州的边界之内。尽管如此,即使在选区层面衡量空间分选,社区之间的差异也往往显著小于社区内部的差异。从这个意义上说,美国选民在地区内部的多样性仍然高于地区之间。

Abstract

We develop a variance-like index of heterogeneity in partisanship and use it to measure spatial sorting. We prove that our index is the only one (up to a linear transformation) that satisfies seven theoretical properties, all of which are intuitively desirable. Based on this index we document the long-run evolution of geographic sorting along partisan lines in the American electorate. We provide evidence that spatial cleavages have increased dramatically since the mid-twentieth century. At no point since the Civil War have partisans been as clustered within the boundaries of individual states as today. Nonetheless, even when geographic sorting is measured at the precinct level, differences across communities tend to be significantly smaller than differences within. In this sense, the American electorate continues to be more diverse within than across areas.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →