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重新标注、退休与后悔

Relabeling, retirement and regret
Journal of Public Economics · 2022 · Jonathan Gruber、Ohto Kanninen、Terhi Ravaska

中文摘要

仅仅改变正常退休年龄的公共界定,在没有任何相关财务激励变化的情况下,能否影响退休行为?我们研究了芬兰退休制度的一次重新表述,该调整对退休年龄进行了重新标注,而财务激励仅有适度且连续的变化。我们发现重新标注具有影响:图形证据和估计的风险模型均显示,当个体面临新界定的“正常退休”年龄时,退休行为发生了巨大变化。我们还发现了与增加的退休“后悔”相一致的证据,因为由重新标注诱致退休的边际工人更有可能重返工作岗位。

Abstract

Can simply changing the public definition of a normal retirement age impact retirement, without any associated financial incentive changes? We study a reformulation of the retirement system in Finland that relabeled retirement ages with only modest and continuous changes in financial incentives. We find that relabeling matters: both graphical evidence and estimated hazard models reveal an enormous change in retirement when individuals face a newly defined “normal retirement” age. We also find evidence consistent with increased retirement “regret,” as the marginal workers induced to retire by relabeling are more likely to return to work.
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