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限速执法与道路安全

Speed limit enforcement and road safety
Journal of Public Economics · 2022 · Stefan Bauernschuster、Ramona Rekers

中文摘要

我们研究了为期一天的大规模限速监控行动(SLMO)以及随之而来的媒体宣传活动对道路安全的影响,这些宣传活动公布SLMO并提供超速危险的相关信息。利用覆盖警方报告的全部事故的登记数据,并采用广义双重差分方法,我们发现SLMO使交通事故和伤亡减少8%。然而,在SLMO日之后,所有效应立即消失。进一步证据表明,人们在SLMO日驾驶得更慢、更谨慎,以避免罚款;而提供超速危险的信息并不能以可持续的方式改变超速者的驾驶行为。

Abstract

We study the impact on road safety of one-day massive speed limit monitoring operations (SLMO) accompanied by media campaigns that announce the SLMO and provide information on the dangers of speeding. Using register data on the universe of police reported accidents in a generalized difference-in-differences approach, we find that SLMO reduce traffic accidents and casualties by eight percent. Yet, immediately after the SLMO day, all effects vanish. Further evidence suggests that people drive more slowly and responsibly on SLMO days to avoid fines; providing information on the dangers of speeding does not alter speeders' driving behavior in a sustainable way.
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