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能源税豁免与工业生产

Energy Tax Exemptions and Industrial Production
The Economic Journal · 2024 · Andreas Gerster、Stefan Lamp

中文摘要

本文考察一项大规模电力税豁免对德国制造业生产水平、就业与投入品选择的影响。针对两种政策设计,我们表明被豁免的工厂增加了其电力使用。相较于不含此类收益的政策,在门槛式豁免政策下——即跨过资格门槛会带来边际内收益——这一效应更大。我们未发现豁免对生产水平、出口份额和就业有显著影响。通过反事实模拟,我们记录到当财务利害关系重大且合规成本较低时,门槛式政策会显著扭曲企业的生产投入品选择。

Abstract

Abstract This paper investigates the impact of a large electricity tax exemption on production levels, employment and input choices in the German manufacturing industry. For two policy designs, we show that exempted plants increase their electricity use. This effect is larger under a notched exemption policy, where passing an eligibility threshold yields infra-marginal benefits, compared to a policy without such benefits. We detect no significant impact of the exemptions on production levels, export shares and employment. Using counterfactual simulations, we document that notched policies substantially distort firms’ production input choices when financial stakes are high and compliance costs are low.
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