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基于姓名的代际流动性估计量

Name-Based Estimators of Intergenerational Mobility
The Economic Journal · 2024 · Torsten Santavirta、Jan Stuhler

中文摘要

近期研究利用姓名——名与姓——在缺乏直接家庭链接的数据来源中估计代际流动性。尽管这些研究为代际传递过程提供了新的证据,但不同估计量之间如何比较以及它们有多可靠仍不清楚。本文利用芬兰新近数字化的记录与美国人口普查数据,评估了最流行的基于姓名的方法。我们说明,其解释取决于数据的抽样性质,例如父代与子代样本之间的重叠程度,而这在不同研究之间差异很大。我们对因重叠有限而产生的衰减偏误进行了校正,并处理了应用中所遇到的其他常见问题。

Abstract

Abstract Recent studies use names—first and surnames—to estimate intergenerational mobility in sources that lack direct family links. While generating novel evidence on intergenerational transmission processes, it remains unclear how different estimators compare and how reliable they are. This paper evaluates the most popular name-based methods, using newly digitised records from Finland and US census data. We illustrate that their interpretation depends on sampling properties of the data, such as the overlap between the parent and child samples, which differ widely across studies. We correct for the attenuation bias from limited overlap and address other common problems encountered in applications.
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