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职业特定老龄化下的公平养老金政策

Fair Pension Policies with Occupation-Specific Ageing
The Economic Journal · 2024 · Volker Grossmann、Johannes Schünemann、Holger Strulik

中文摘要

我们在一个多期世代交叠模型中研究了公平公共养老金体系的最优设计,该模型包含依赖于退休年龄的职业特定发病率和死亡率。公平约束作为一种制度安排,确保各职业群体间的终身缴费回报相等。我们将群体特定替代率和早期缴费的计算利率作为政策工具。以德国数据对模型进行校准,我们发现,向最优公平养老金政策的转型可能诱发蓝领工人提前退休,并显著提高其终身养老金收益和福利。在所有公平养老金情景下,总福利均增加。

Abstract

Abstract We study the optimal design of a fair public pension system in a multi-period overlapping generations model with occupation-specific morbidity and mortality that depends on the retirement age. The fairness constraint acts as institutional device ensuring that lifetime returns to contributions are equal across occupational groups. We consider group-specific replacement rates and a calculatory interest rate for early contributions as policy instruments. Calibrating the model to Germany, we find that the transition to optimal fair pension policies may induce early retirement of blue-collar workers and significantly raises their lifetime pension benefits and welfare. Aggregate welfare increases in all fair pension scenarios.
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