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产业政策: 亚洲奇迹模式

Industrial Policy, Asian Miracle Style
Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2025 · [{"name": "Reda Cherif", "affiliation": ["International Monetary Fund"]}, {"name": "Fuad Hasanov", "affiliation": ["International Monetary Fund", "Georgetown University"]}]

中文摘要

我们破解了二十世纪下半叶亚洲奇迹经济体——韩国、台湾、新加坡和香港,以及在它们之前的日本——迅猛崛起之谜。我们认为,其成功的秘诀在于一种聚焦技术与创新的特定类型产业政策。这一总体政策以本土企业出口精密复杂产品为核心,同时培育激烈的国内竞争,并要求企业对所获得的支持承担相应责任。该政策的成功实施依赖于一种特定类型的制度——一个具有独特制度设计、并被授权发展精密复杂产业的主导机构。亚洲奇迹的经验为发展中经济体实现与发达经济体的快速趋同提供了蓝图。它也提示我们重新评估国家与市场的作用、产业政策的恰当工具,以及“良好”制度的含义。

Abstract

We decipher the riddle of the meteoric rise of the Asian Miracles—Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong, and Japan before them—in the second half of the twentieth century. We argue that the secret of their success lies in the specific type of industrial policy focused on technology and innovation. This overarching policy focused on exports of sophisticated products by domestic firms while fostering fierce domestic competition and accountability for the support received. The successful implementation of this policy depended on a particular type of institutions—a leading agency with a distinct institutional design and a mandate to develop sophisticated industries. The experience of the Asian miracles provides a blueprint for developing economies to achieve rapid convergence with advanced economies. It also suggests a reassessment of the roles of the state and the market, the appropriate tools of industrial policy, and the meaning of “good” institutions.
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