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对Siddique等(2024)《提升农村社区健康意识:孟加拉国与印度的随机实验》一文的评论

A Comment on “Raising Health Awareness in Rural Communities: A Randomized Experiment in Bangladesh and India” by Siddique et al. (2024)
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2026 · Anders Kjelsrud、Andreas Kotsadam、Ole Jørgen Røgeberg、Abel Brodeur

中文摘要

Siddique等(2024)报告了在新冠疫情期间于孟加拉国和印度农村开展的一项田野实验中,基于手机的健康意识宣传活动所产生的巨大效应。该研究声称在孟加拉国部分,处理是在村级随机分配的,但对本实验及相关田野实验的现有复制材料进行分析后表明,情况并非如此:参与者保留了同一非政府组织此前开展的两项研究中的处理组分配。由于这些早期研究报告了巨大且持续的处理效应,Siddique等(2024)中的处理组可能存在系统性的差异,从而引发混杂和交互效应问题,使该研究的分析和解释失效,并影响其内部和外部效度。

Abstract

Abstract Siddique et al. (2024) report large effects of a mobile phone-based health awareness campaign in a field experiment conducted in rural Bangladesh and India during the COVID-19 pandemic. Treatments are stated as being randomized at the village level in the Bangladesh arm, but analyses of available replication materials from this and related field experiments show that this was not the case: participants retained their treatment group assignment from two earlier studies run by the same NGO. Because these earlier studies reported large and persistent treatment effects, the treatment groups in Siddique et al. (2024) could plausibly differ systematically, raising issues of confounding and interaction effects that invalidate the analyses and interpretations of this study, affecting both internal and external validity.
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