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航空市场的市场结构与竞争

Market Structure and Competition in Airline Markets
Journal of Political Economy · 2021 · Federico Ciliberto、Charles Murry、Elie Tamer

中文摘要

我们提供了一个计量经济学框架,用于估计同时包含进入与定价决策的博弈,并允许未观测的成本冲击与需求冲击之间存在相关性。我们运用该框架来校正定价阶段的选择性偏误。我们使用美国航空业的数据估计了该模型,发现不考虑内生进入会导致需求弹性的估计产生偏误。我们模拟了美国航空与全美航空的合并,发现产品重新定位以及合并后的结果取决于我们如何将合并后企业的特征设定为合并前企业特征的函数。

Abstract

We provide an econometric framework for estimating a game of simultaneous entry and pricing decisions while allowing for correlations between unobserved cost and demand shocks. We use our framework to account for selection in the pricing stage. We estimate the model using data from the US airline industry and find that not accounting for endogenous entry leads to biased estimation of demand elasticities. We simulate a merger between American and US Airways and find that product repositioning and postmerger outcomes depend on how we model the characteristics of the merged firm as a function of the premerger firms’ characteristics.
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