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大迁徙对城市更新的影响

The effects of the Great Migration on urban renewal
Journal of Public Economics · 2022 · Ying Guang Shi、Daniel A. Hartley、Bhash Mazumder、Aastha Rajan

中文摘要

从二十世纪上半叶开始,大迁徙显著增加了迁往北部和西部城市的非裔美国人数量。我们表明,他们的到来塑造了接收城市的“贫民窟清除”与城市再开发努力。为估计迁徙者的影响,我们使用一个转移份额工具变量对黑人人口变化进行工具化,该工具变量将历史迁徙模式与预测黑人迁出南方的当地经济冲击相交乘。我们发现,地方政府对此的反应是开展更多旨在再开发与改造“衰败”区域的城市更新项目。更多黑人迁徙者也导致了家庭流离失所的增加。这凸显了诸如城市更新等空间政策对于理解大迁徙对中心城市、黑人社区及个体的长期后果所作的贡献。

Abstract

The Great Migration significantly increased the number of African American people moving to northern and western cities beginning in the first half of the twentieth century. We show that their arrival shaped “slum clearance” and urban redevelopment efforts in receiving cities. To estimate the effect of migrants, we instrument for Black population changes using a shift-share instrument that interacts historical migration patterns with local economic shocks that predict Black out-migration from the South. We find that local governments responded by undertaking more urban renewal projects that aimed to redevelop and rehabilitate “blighted” areas. More Black migrants also led to an increase in family displacement. This underscores the contribution of spatial policies such as urban renewal towards understanding the long-term consequences of the Great Migration on central cities, and Black neighborhoods and individuals.
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