← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

两个发展中国家城市的能源政策与污染:一个定量模型

Energy policies and pollution in two developing country cities: A quantitative model
Journal of Development Economics · 2024 · Rainald Borck、Peter Mulder

中文摘要

我们研究了能源和交通政策对两个发展中国家城市污染的影响。我们使用了一个包含住房、能源使用、居住区位、交通方式和能源技术选择的定量均衡模型。污染来自通勤和住宅能源使用。模型参数经过校准,以复现两个发展中国家城市(莫桑比克的马普托和印度尼西亚的日惹)的关键变量。在反事实模拟中,我们研究了各种交通和能源政策如何影响均衡污染。政策可能会因增加住宅能源使用或转向高排放的交通方式或区位而引发反弹效应。总体而言,对于公共交通或现代住宅能源技术的补贴,这些反弹效应往往最大。

Abstract

We study the effect of energy and transport policies on pollution in two developing country cities. We use a quantitative equilibrium model with choice of housing, energy use, residential location, transport mode, and energy technology. Pollution comes from commuting and residential energy use. The model parameters are calibrated to replicate key variables for two developing country cities, Maputo, Mozambique, and Yogyakarta, Indonesia. In the counterfactual simulations, we study how various transport and energy policies affect equilibrium pollution. Policies may induce rebound effects from increasing residential energy use or switching to high emission modes or locations. In general, these rebound effects tend to be largest for subsidies to public transport or modern residential energy technology.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →