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警力规模与平民种族

Police Force Size and Civilian Race
AER: Insights · 2022 · Aaron J. Chalfin、Benjamin Hansen、Emily Weisburst、Morgan C. Williams

中文摘要

我们报告了关于美国更大规模警力对种族特定效应的新经验估计值。每增加一名警察,大约减少0.1起凶杀案。按人均计算,黑人受害者受到的效应是白人受害者的两倍。更大规模警力还使严重犯罪的逮捕数量减少,其中涉及黑人嫌疑人的犯罪减少幅度更大,这意味着警力增长并未加剧最严重指控中的种族差异。与此同时,更大规模警力使低级别“生活质量”犯罪的逮捕数量增加,其效应意味着对美国黑人产生了不成比例的影响。

Abstract

We report novel empirical estimates of the race-specific effects of larger police forces in the United States. Each additional police officer abates approximately 0.1 homicides. In per capita terms, effects are twice as large for Black versus White victims. Larger police forces also make fewer arrests for serious crimes, with larger reductions for crimes with Black suspects, implying that police force growth does not increase racial disparities among the most serious charges. At the same time, larger police forces make more arrests for low-level "quality-of-life" offenses, with effects that imply a disproportionate impact for Black Americans.
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