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货币政策传导机制的微观透视

The Transmission of Monetary Policy under the Microscope
Journal of Political Economy · 2021 · Martin Blomhoff Holm、Pascal Paul、Andreas Tischbirek

中文摘要

我们利用挪威全国家户的行政数据,研究了货币政策向家户消费的传导机制。基于识别出的货币政策冲击,我们沿着家户的流动资产分布估计消费、收入与储蓄的动态响应。对于低流动性以及高流动性家户,可支配收入的变化都伴随着可观的消费反应。冲击期消费响应与利率暴露密切相关,后者在分布底端为负,而在顶端为正。货币政策的间接效应逐渐累积,并最终超过直接效应。

Abstract

We investigate the transmission of monetary policy to household consumption using administrative data on the universe of households in Norway. On the basis of identified monetary policy shocks, we estimate the dynamic responses of consumption, income, and saving along the liquid asset distribution of households. For low-liquidity but also for high-liquidity households, changes in disposable income are associated with a sizable consumption reaction. The impact consumption response is closely linked to interest rate exposure, which is negative at the bottom but positive at the top of the distribution. Indirect effects of monetary policy gradually build up and eventually outweigh the direct effects.
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