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代际的机会与不平等

Opportunity and inequality across generations
Journal of Public Economics · 2022 · Winfried Koeniger、Carlo Zanella

中文摘要

我们分析了如果家族能够获得针对未来后代低能力的最优保险,代际流动性与不平等相对于现状将如何变化。基于一个动态的代际家族米尔利斯模型,我们发现,相对于现状,在社会最优状态下,针对代际能力风险的保险会增加。这意味着以福利衡量的代际流动性降低,但收入流动性在量级上没有显著变化。因此,在具有不同激励和福利的经济体中,收入流动性是相似的,这表明在没有进一步分析的情况下,收入流动性的变化无法轻易地从福利角度来解读。

Abstract

We analyze how intergenerational mobility and inequality would change relative to the status quo if dynasties had access to optimal insurance against low ability of future generations. Based on a dynamic, dynastic Mirrleesian model, we find that insurance against intergenerational ability risk increases in the social optimum relative to the status quo. This implies less intergenerational mobility in terms of welfare but no quantitatively significant change in earnings mobility. Earnings mobility is thus similar across economies with different incentives and welfare, illustrating that changes in earnings mobility cannot be interpreted readily in welfare terms without further analysis.
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