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从广告狂人到数学人:在线广告中的集中度与买方势力

From Mad Men to Maths Men: Concentration and Buyer Power in Online Advertising
American Economic Review · 2021 · Francesco Decarolis、Gabriele Rovigatti

中文摘要

本文分析了中介集中度对在线平台收入分配的影响。我们研究了赞助搜索,记录了广告主如何越来越多地通过少数专业化中介进行竞价。这增强了自动竞价与数据汇集,但当中介代表相互竞争的广告主时,则削弱了竞争。利用近4000万次谷歌关键词拍卖的数据,我们首先应用机器学习算法将关键词聚类为作为相关市场的主题组。运用工具变量策略,我们估计,由于与中介并购活动相关的集中度平均上升,平台收入下降了约11%。

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of intermediary concentration on the allocation of revenue in online platforms. We study sponsored search documenting how advertisers increasingly bid through a handful of specialized intermediaries. This enhances automated bidding and data pooling, but lessens competition whenever the intermediary represents competing advertisers. Using data on nearly 40 million Google keyword auctions, we first apply machine learning algorithms to cluster keywords into thematic groups serving as relevant markets. Using an instrumental variable strategy, we estimate a decline in the platform’s revenue of approximately 11 percent due to the average rise in concentration associated with intermediary merger and acquisition activity. (JEL C45, D44, G34, L13, L81, M37)
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