← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

统计性歧视与求职率的持续时间依赖

Statistical Discrimination and Duration Dependence in the Job Finding Rate
Review of Economic Studies · 2018 · Gregor Jarosch、Laura Pilossoph

中文摘要

本文构建了一个摩擦性劳动力市场模型,其中雇主内生性地歧视长期失业者。所估计的模型复现了近期的实验证据,这些证据表明,随着失业持续时间的延长,在观察特征相同的工人中,面试邀请急剧减少。我们使用该模型定量评估此类雇主行为对求职率和长期失业的后果,并发现,鉴于回电率的大幅下降,其影响仅为温和。只有在因持续时间而失去的面试原本能够带来工作时,这些面试才会影响个人的求职率。我们表明,当企业在预期申请最终不成功的情况下进行歧视时,这种情况很少发生。因此,回电中的歧视在很大程度上是对动态选择的反应,对结构性持续时间依赖和长期失业的影响有限。

Abstract

Abstract This article models a frictional labour market where employers endogenously discriminate against the long-term unemployed. The estimated model replicates recent experimental evidence which documents that interview invitations for observationally equivalent workers fall sharply as unemployment duration progresses. We use the model to quantitatively assess the consequences of such employer behaviour for job finding rates and long-term unemployment and find only modest effects given the large decline in callbacks. Interviews lost to duration impact individual job finding rates solely if they would have led to jobs. We show that such instances are rare when firms discriminate in anticipation of an ultimately unsuccessful application. Discrimination in callbacks is thus largely a response to dynamic selection, with limited consequences for structural duration dependence and long-term unemployment.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →