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枪支与暴力:快克可卡因市场对年轻黑人男性的持久影响

Guns and violence: The enduring impact of crack cocaine markets on young black males
Journal of Public Economics · 2022 · William N. Evans、Craig Garthwaite、Timothy Moore

中文摘要

20世纪80年代和90年代与快克可卡因市场相关的暴力至今仍有影响。利用快克可卡因到达时间的跨城市变异以及较年长的对照组,我们估计,在快克市场出现17年后,美国15至24岁黑人男性的谋杀率仍高出70%。以枪支相关自杀的比例作为枪支可获得性的代理变量,我们发现枪支获取的增加导致了持续更高的谋杀率。我们的估计意味着,由快克相关暴力导致的枪支增多解释了当前白人男性与黑人男性之间预期寿命差距的大约十分之一。

Abstract

The violence associated with crack cocaine markets in the 1980s and 1990s has repercussions today. Using cross-city variation in when crack cocaine arrived and an older comparison group, we estimate that the US murder rate of black males aged 15–24 was still 70 percent higher 17 years after crack markets had emerged. Using the fraction of gun-related suicides as a proxy for gun availability, we find that increased access to guns led to persistently higher murder rates. Our estimates imply that more guns due to crack-related violence explains approximately one-tenth of the current life-expectancy gap between white and black males.
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