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高调报道的警察杀人事件对警务的影响:来自美国大城市的证据

The effect of highly publicized police killings on policing: Evidence from large U.S. cities
Journal of Public Economics · 2021 · Cheng Cheng、Wei Long

中文摘要

高调报道的警察杀害平民事件是否对警务活动产生了广泛影响?聚焦2014–2016年期间美国的此类事件并采用不同的识别策略,我们研究了其在美国大城市中的效应。我们对圣路易斯市进行了单城市分析,并对60个大城市进行了多城市分析。我们的断点回归与双重差分估计提供了一致且强有力的证据,表明那些备受瞩目的杀人事件减少了警务活动,包括警察主动发起的活动和逮捕。对主动发起活动减少的估计表明,警察主动退出了执法活动,这为去警务化提供了直接证据。

Abstract

Do highly publicized police killings of civilians have a widespread effect on policing activities? Focusing on such incidents in the United States during 2014–2016 and adopting different identification strategies, we study the effect in large U.S. cities. We conduct a single-city analysis of St. Louis and a multi-city analysis of 60 large cities. Our regression discontinuity and difference-in-differences estimates provide consistent and strong evidence that those high-profile killings reduced policing activities, including police self-initiated activities and arrests. The estimated reduction in self-initiated activities shows that police officers proactively withdrew from law enforcement activities, providing direct evidence of de-policing.
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