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国际移民的社会融入:来自德国叙利亚人社交网络的证据

The Social Integration of International Migrants: Evidence from the Networks of Syrians in Germany
Journal of Political Economy · 2025 · Michael Bailey、Drew Johnston、Martin Koenen、Theresa Kuchler、Dominic Russel、Johannes Stroebel

中文摘要

我们利用Facebook数据研究叙利亚移民在德国的社会融入,确立了五项发现:(1)移民的社会融入程度因地区而异,这一差异由具有因果性的、基于地域的效应所驱动。(2)这种空间差异反映了德国人与邻居结交的频率,以及他们与移民(而非其他德国人)结交的可能性。利用迁移者设计,我们表明,相较于持久的本地人特征,这两个因素更多地受到当地制度和政策的影响。(3)融入课程提高了群体间的结交率。(4)移民会获得德国人的帮助,例如寻找工作或住房。(5)在高中阶段准随机接触到移民的德国人,日后更有可能与移民结交。

Abstract

We use Facebook data to study Syrian migrants’ social integration in Germany, establishing five findings: (1) Migrants’ social integration varies across regions, driven by causal, place-based effects. (2) This spatial variation reflects how frequently Germans befriend neighbors and how likely they are to befriend migrants versus other Germans. Using a mover’s design, we show that both factors are shaped more by local institutions and policies than by persistent native characteristics. (3) Integration courses boost intergroup friending rates. (4) Migrants receive help from Germans, such as finding jobs or housing. (5) Germans quasi-randomly exposed to migrants in high school are likelier to befriend migrants later.
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