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美国梦的终结?美国城市的收入不平等与居住隔离

The End of the American Dream? Inequality and Segregation in US Cities
Journal of Political Economy · 2025 · Alessandra Fogli、Veronica Guerrieri、Mark Ponder、Marta Prato

中文摘要

自20世纪80年代以来,美国经历了收入不平等的加剧,以及按收入划分的居住隔离程度的上升。我们构建了一个包含居住选择的一般均衡模型,在该模型中,由于存在影响教育回报的局部溢出效应,隔离与不平等相互放大。我们将模型校准至1980年美国一个具有代表性的都市区,并利用Chetty和Hendren(2018b)关于邻里暴露效应的微观估计来约束该溢出效应。随后,我们考察经济对一次未预期的技能溢价冲击的反应,结果表明居住隔离在放大不平等加剧的过程中发挥了显著作用。

Abstract

Since the 1980s, the United States has experienced both an increase in income inequality and a rise in residential segregation by income. We develop a general equilibrium model with residential choice, where segregation and inequality amplify each other because of a local spillover affecting educational returns. We calibrate the model to a representative US metro in 1980 and use the micro estimates of neighborhood exposure effects in Chetty and Hendren (2018b) to discipline the spillover. We then explore the economy’s response to an unexpected skill premium shock and show that segregation played a significant role in amplifying the increase in inequality.
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