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银行越大越好吗?来自德国的企业层面证据

Are Bigger Banks Better? Firm-Level Evidence from Germany
Journal of Political Economy · 2021 · Kilian Huber

中文摘要

大型银行对实体经济的影响在理论上是不明确的,在政治上存在争议。我识别了战后德国银行规模的准外生扩大。我表明,企业在其关系银行变大之后并未增长得更快。事实上,不透明的借款人增长得更慢。规模扩大的银行并未提高利润或效率,而是与风险更高的借款人开展业务。银行管理者通过更高的薪酬和媒体关注而获益。这些结果基于新近数字化的德国企业及其银行的微观数据。总体而言,研究结果表明,更大的银行并不总能提升实体增长,实际上可能损害部分借款人和实体经济。

Abstract

The effects of large banks on the real economy are theoretically ambiguous and politically controversial. I identify quasi-exogenous increases in bank size in postwar Germany. I show that firms did not grow faster after their relationship banks became bigger. In fact, opaque borrowers grew more slowly. The enlarged banks did not increase profits or efficiency but worked with riskier borrowers. Bank managers benefited through higher salaries and media attention. The results are based on newly digitized microdata on German firms and their banks. Overall, the findings reveal that bigger banks do not always raise real growth and can actually harm some borrowers and the real economy.
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