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On the Direction of Innovation
Journal of Political Economy · 2021 · Hugo A. Hopenhayn、Francesco Squintani

中文摘要

资源如何在不同研发领域(即待解决的问题)之间进行配置?由于动态拥挤外部性,竞争市场将过多资源配置于高回报领域,即具有更高私人(及社会)收益的领域。好的问题被过早解决,因此,社会最优解中未解决研究问题的分布随机占优于竞争均衡中的分布。后者中出现了严重的租金耗散,其中研发活动的总价值等于将所有资源配置于已解决的最无价值问题所产生的价值。由此造成的损失可能是巨大的。

Abstract

How are resources allocated across different R&D areas (i.e., problems to be solved)? As a result of dynamic congestion externalities, the competitive market allocates excessive resources into those of high return, being those with higher private (and social) payoffs. Good problems are tackled too soon, and as a result the distribution of open research problems in the socially optimal solution stochastically dominates that of the competitive equilibrium. A severe form of rent dissipation occurs in the latter, where the total value of R&D activity equals the value of allocating all resources to the least valuable problem solved. Resulting losses can be substantial.
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