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一夫多妻制家庭中的策略性选择:来自塞内加尔的理论与证据

Strategic Choices in Polygamous Households: Theory and Evidence from Senegal
Review of Economic Studies · 2018 · Pauline Rossi

中文摘要

本文提出了一个策略性框架来解释一夫多妻制家庭中的生育选择。文章利用塞内加尔具有代表性的共妻样本的生育史独特数据,估计了一个包含个体基准风险率的生育间隔久期模型。利用共妻的进入与退出以及出生性别,实证检验表明子女是策略互补品。一位妻子会提高自身的生育率以回应另一位妻子生育率的提高,因为子女是对丈夫控制资源的最佳索取权。该结果首次提供了定量证据,表明共妻之间的竞争会推高生育率。这暗示一夫多妻制通过激励女性想要更多子女,削弱了撒哈拉以南非洲地区的生育率转型。本文也是打开非核心家庭黑箱的少数尝试之一,将策略性互动置于家庭决策的核心。

Abstract

This article proposes a strategic framework to account for fertility choices in polygamous households. It uses unique data on fertility histories of a representative sample of co-wives in Senegal to estimate a duration model of birth intervals with individual baseline hazards. Exploiting entries and exits of co-wives as well as gender of births, empirical tests show that children are strategic complements. One wife raises her fertility in response to an increase by the other wife, because children are the best claim to resources controlled by the husband. This result is the first quantitative evidence that the competition between co-wives drives fertility upwards. It suggests that polygamy undermines the fertility transition in Sub-Saharan Africa by incentivizing women to want many children. This article is also one of the few attempts to open the black box of non-nuclear families, placing strategic interactions at the heart of household decision-making.
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