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男人如雨!哈利路亚?男性偏多性别比的长期后果

It’s Raining Men! Hallelujah? The Long-Run Consequences of Male-Biased Sex Ratios
Review of Economic Studies · 2018 · Pauline A. Grosjean、Rose Khattar

中文摘要

我们记录了男性偏多性别比的短期和长期效应。我们利用了一个自然历史实验,即在18世纪和19世纪,大量男性罪犯和远少于其数量的女性罪犯被送往澳大利亚。在男性偏多性别比更高的地区,历史上女性更有可能结婚,且更不可能外出工作。在这些地区,如今男性和女性对女性工作的态度依然更为保守,女性外出工作的时间也更少。尽管这些女性享有更多闲暇,但她们也更不可能从事高级职业。我们证明,性别比不均衡对文化态度、劳动供给决策和职业选择的后果可以在长期内持续存在,甚至在性别比恢复到自然水平之后很久依然如此。我们记录了垂直文化传承和婚姻同质性在维持这种文化持续性中的作用。

Abstract

We document the short- and long-run effects of male-biased sex ratios. We exploit a natural historical experiment where large numbers of male convicts and far fewer female convicts were sent to Australia in the 18th and 19th centuries. In areas with more male-biased sex ratios, women were historically more likely to get married and less likely to work outside the home. In these areas today, both men and women continue to have more conservative attitudes towards women working, and women work fewer hours outside the home. While these women enjoy more leisure, they are also less likely to work in high-ranking occupations. We demonstrate that the consequences of uneven sex ratios on cultural attitudes, labour supply decisions, and occupational choices can persist in the long run, well after sex ratios are back to the natural rate. We document the roles of vertical cultural transmission and marriage homogamy in sustaining this cultural persistence.
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