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立法谈判中的可预测性与权力

Predictability and Power in Legislative Bargaining
Review of Economic Studies · 2018 · S. Nageeb Ali、B. Douglas Bernheim、Xiaochen Fan

中文摘要

立法机构的规则与程序通常为立法者提供有关未来提案者身份的信息。对于一大类立法谈判博弈,我们证明,只要信息结构允许立法者提前一轮排除最少数量的提案者,马尔可夫均衡必然将所有经济剩余赋予首位提案者。该结果无论认可过程如何均成立,甚至当参与者的耐心程度与风险厌恶程度存在差异时亦成立。这表明,出于透明度目的而采用的程序可能促成政治权力的失衡。

Abstract

The rules and procedures of legislatures often provide legislators with information bearing on the identities of upcoming proposers. For a broad class of legislative bargaining games, we establish that Markovian equilibria necessarily deliver all economic surplus to the first proposer whenever the information structure permits the legislators to rule out some minimum number of proposers one round in advance. This result holds regardless of the recognition process and even if players vary in patience and risk aversion. It raises the possibility that procedures adopted in the interest of transparency may contribute to the imbalance of political power.
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